Reprinted from COURAGEOUS DISCOURSE - Chloroquine Highly Effective Treatment for Acute H5N1 Infection in Preclinical Model

Bird Flu Study in Human Cell and Mouse Models Confirms Therapeutic Success

PETER A. MCCULLOUGH, MD, MPH

Globally, from January 2003 to 31 March 2022, there have been 863 cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) virus reported from 18 countries. Of these 863 cases, 455 were fatal (CFR of 53%). Fatalities have occured in multiple countries. In the last twenty years, the nations with the most cases and deaths are Cambodia, China, Loas, and Viet Nam. However the casualty was reported from United Kingdom in January 2022.

Because highly pathogenic avian influenza is so infrequent, there have been no randomized trials or human studies of treatment. Therefore, we must rely on preclinical data with drugs that are already used and proven safe in humans.

Yan, et al studied H5N1 infection in the laboratory and demonstrated that physiological relevant concentrations of chloroquine inhibited viral entry and damage to human cells. Additionally, when given as treatment and not prophylaxis, chloroquine reduced pulmonary alveolar infiltrates and improved survival in mice after a lethal dose of H5N1 from zero to 70%.

These data are encouraging if in the event we have more human cases among farm workers or if there is human to human spread, chloroquine or its derivative hydroxychloroquine would be reasonable therapeutic choices in the setting of high-risk or serious human avian influenza. Unfortunately, both chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine have toxicity and or expected ineffectiveness in livestock.

Please check out the black Contagion Kits at The Wellness Company. They contain hydroxychloroquine and have been extended to cover bird flu with oseltamivir phosphate.

Please subscribe to Courageous Discourse as a paying or founder member so we can continue to bring you the truth.

Peter A. McCullough, MD, MPH

Chief Scientific Officer, The Wellness Company

The Wellness Company

Yan Y, Zou Z, Sun Y, Li X, Xu KF, Wei Y, Jin N, Jiang C. Anti-malaria drug chloroquine is highly effective in treating avian influenza A H5N1 virus infection in an animal model. Cell Res. 2013 Feb;23(2):300-2. doi: 10.1038/cr.2012.165. Epub 2012 Dec 4. PMID: 23208422; PMCID: PMC3567830.

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https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/chloroquine-highly-effective-treatment?utm_source=%2Fsearch%2FChloroquine%2520Highly%2520Effective&utm_medium=reader2

Reprinted from THE EXPOSE - DEI in aviation is making flying less safe

BY RHODA WILSON ON JUNE 21, 2024

Earlier this month, former FAA test pilot Brett Vance host of Jet Jockeys and retired chiropractor and airline captain Kevin Stillwagon discussed diversity, equity, and inclusion (“DEI”) in commercial aviation.

“I’m convinced that … in the aviation industry there’s a good chance that if you follow DEI principles exclusively, we could cause some fatalities,” Vance said.

Dr. Stillwagon agreed. “We’re already seeing some signs of this,” he said

The two-hour discussion between the two former American pilots covered a wide range of topics: DEI in the aviation industry, mandated covid measures, covid injections, the harm covid injections inflict and help for those who have been vaccine-injured.

In a recent Substack post, Dr. StillWagon highlighted the DEI policies being imposed in the aviation industry which are already causing safety issues in the industry.  In his post, Dr. Stillwagon included a clip from the discussion which you can watch HERE.  In the following, we note some highlights from throughout the two-hour discussion.

During the covid era, both Vance and Dr. Stillwagon received career-ending ultimatums. At timestamp 57:45, Dr. Stillwagon describes the lead-up to his resignation; he had no choice but to resign because he opposed the airline’s covid policies. 

The build-up to his resignation involved the ridiculous and harmful nature of non-pharmaceutical interventions imposed by governments and airlines in response to the so-called covid pandemic, such as face masks and social distancing.

Dr. Stillwagon told the airline he would refuse to make passengers and crew on his flights wear face masks. He told the airline: “I’m not going to do it [make people wear face masks], it’s all fake.  It’s dangerous.  Even I will not do it.”

The response to Dr. Stillwagon was: “Well, you can’t work here anymore.” So, Dr. Stillwagon immediately resigned.  As soon as he was no longer working for the airline, Dr. Stillwagon began speaking out against not only facemasks but also the so-called covid vaccines (see from timestamp 1:09:16).

Referring to airline vaccine mandates, Dr. Stillwagon said: “We plan to bring a lawsuit against the FAA [Federal Aviation Administration] to hold them accountable for what they’ve done, because pilots have died that should not have died.  I’ve got the data on this” (see from timestamp 1:21:17).

At timestamp 1:24:44, the two pilots began discussing DEI, focusing on equity in pilot training as it is the most concerning of the DEI tri-ideology. “We’re not talking about experience here.  We’re talking about the end of the pilot training programme where everybody gets the same outcome,” Vance said.

“I’m convinced that … in the aviation industry there’s a good chance that if you follow DEI principles exclusively, we could cause some fatalities,” he added.

Dr. Stillwagon agreed with Vance completely. “We’re already seeing some signs of this,” he said.

The recently appointed administrator of the FAA, Michael Whitaker, has admitted that “the FAA did drop the ball [regarding safety signals that are happening in the aviation industry], and they need to really pay close attention to what’s going on with aircraft manufacturing particularly,” Dr. Stillwagon explained.

“He talked specifically about the culture that’s involved. This definitely has to do with DEI. These companies are trying to check boxes and put people into moulds,” he said. He continued:

“That really can’t be done if you want to have a safe environment for the travelling public. This goes in all aspects of aviation. Not only the people who put these planes together but the people who do the final testing on these products, the people who inspect the products, the parts pipeline, where these parts are even coming from.  We know that recently there was an incident found where bogus parts even got installed in an aircraft.”

“DEI can work in some corporate environments but I don’t believe it fits well in aviation.  It just doesn’t fit,” Dr. Stillwagon said.

It is not only DEI policies that will affect aviation safety.  There are also the harms caused by covid injections.  Starting from timestamp 1:55:22 Dr. Stillwagon discussed the mechanisms of harm and the possible outcomes.

The lipid nanoparticles in the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna “vaccines” are known to be toxic, Dr. Stillwagon explained. Additionally, “all of this mRNA technology, all of it, is going to be making, I call them, bioactive proteins … proteins made by this synthetic messenger RNA [ ] are bioactive … It results in pathology. ”

“I think we’re just starting to see the fallout of [vaccine harms]. We’re seeing it in aviation, particularly in the increased level of pilots going out on long-term disabilities for whatever reason,” he said.

“They’re getting cancers.  They’re getting neurological problems. They’re having vascular issues.  These are sneaking up on pilots. It’s taking a long time for some of these things to show up but they are showing up in greater and greater numbers.”

“Treatments are available,” Vance said. “We’ve got to get our flight crews, we’ve got to get our flight attendants, the wrench turners, air traffic controllers, anybody who’s been affected in the aviation industry by this gene therapy – we’ve got to get them fixed.”

Beginning at timestamp 2:07:25, Vance and Dr. Stillwagon discussed the steps that can be taken to “fix this horrible mess” and help those who have been vaccine-injured.

You can watch the full discussion below.

Jet Jockeys TV: S1:E3 – Kevin, 3 June 2024 (137 mins)

The Expose Urgently Needs Your Help…

https://expose-news.com/2024/06/21/dei-in-aviation-is-making-flying-less-safe/

Reprinted from THE EXPOSE - Bill Gates funded bio-terrorist activities to develop a bird flu that could infect humans

BY RHODA WILSON ON JUNE 19, 2024

The Gates Foundation gave US$9.5 million to the University of Wisconsin-Madison and principal investigator Yoshihiro Kawaoka to modify H5N1 viruses to preferentially recognise human-type receptors and transmit efficiently in mammals.

“This indicates that the Gates Foundation funded bioterrorist-like activities involving H5N1, providing blueprints for other bad actors who may want to create a bioweapon,” Dr. Peter McCullough tweeted.

Sources noted in Dr. McCullough’s tweet above:

The following is the article ‘Bioterrorism: Gates Foundation awarded $9.5 million to UW-Madison to make H5N1 bird flu transmissible to humans’ written by Ethan Huff and originally published by Natural News.

It looks as though H5N1, also known as “bird flu,” might just be the next “pandemic” the globalists are planning to unleash – thanks, in part, to a $9.5 million grant the Gates Foundation awarded to the University of Wisconsin – Madison to make H5N1 transmissible to humans and other mammals.

The McCullough Foundation, a project of Dr. Peter McCullough, tweeted that the Gates Foundation gave the $9.5 million to UW-Madison and principal investigator Yoshihiro Kawaoka to modify, possibly through gain-of-function tampering, H5N1 so it will “preferentially recognise human-type receptors and transmit efficiently in mammals.”

Much like bat coronaviruses, which we now know were modified in a laboratory to jump from bats to humans, H5N1 infects birds in its natural state. Building upon the research of Ron Fouchier, who previously modified H5N1 to become airborne transmissible in ferrets, UW-Madison and Kawaoka’s research provides two additional mutations that are needed to make Egyptian H5N1 produce “variants” that have mammalian “transmissibility features.”

“This indicates that the @gatesfoundation funded bioterrorist-like activities involving H5N1, providing blueprints for other bad actors who may want to create a bioweapon,” tweeted the McCullough Foundation about these disturbing new revelations.

(Related: Just as he announced he would eventually do, Bill Gates is readying to unleash “Pandemic 2,” complete with new “vaccines” that he plans to mass administer from “a little patch.”)

The 2006 H5N1 “Pandemic” Never Materialised, So Now They’re Trying It Again

Back in 2006, Kawaoka and colleague Taisuke Horimoto published a study aimed at developing new “vaccines” for H5N1 influenza A viruses. As you may recall if you were around back then, there was a contrived H5N1 scare that went nowhere compared to what happened with covid.

Both poultry and people reportedly contracted H5N1 at that time, which “raised concerns,” according to Kawaoka and Horimoto, “that a new influenza pandemic might occur in the near future.”

“Effective vaccines against H5N1 virus are, therefore, urgently needed,” they added.

An H5N1 pandemic never materialised, of course, so now they are trying it all again. Millions of allegedly infected birds all across the USA have been slaughtered, and now we have the Gates Foundation funnelling cash into more research on H5N1 that conveniently aims to make it more transmissible to humans.

According to UW-Madison, the five-year grant from Gates is all about identifying certain virus “mutations” that the school says Gates wants to know about that “would serve as early warnings of potential pandemic influenza viruses.”

“Early intervention is critical to the control of influenza virus outbreaks,” Kawaoka commented. “But in order to intervene, we rely on early recognition of the pandemic potential of newly emerging influenza viruses.”

A news update about the research states that avian viruses in general do not infect human or other mammalian hosts. It then goes on to state that every once in a while, “a mutation occurs” that changes the game, which is how a pandemic starts.

How that “mutation occurs” is not explained in the article, but Kawaoka and Horimoto are reportedly being paid by Gates to identify an early warning system the moment one does occur that could lead to a global outbreak and pandemic.

“The improved ability to predict whether a virus has pandemic potential would be an invaluable asset to the global community,” Kawaoka added in a statement about the research.

“Millions of lives might be saved if intervention methods – such as social distancing, antiviral compound distribution, and vaccine development / production – could be implemented early.”

If a bird flu “pandemic” is announced, you can be sure that Bill Gates had a direct hand in it. Find out more at Plague.info.

Sources for this article include:

Featured image: This time, the ridiculous pandemic-making machine is not only the usual Bill Gates but also the University of Tokyo Professor Emeritus Yoshihiro Kawaoka, who has been fiercely criticised for being the creator of a new virus. Source: Totsugeki Power on Twitter.

The Expose Urgently Needs Your Help…

https://expose-news.com/2024/06/19/gates-funded-bio-terrorist-activities/

Reprinted from the COURAGEOUS DISCOURSE - Powerful Documentary "Do No Harm: The Clifton Dawley Story"

Unveils Shocking Medical Conspiracy during the COVID-19 Pandemic

PETER A. MCCULLOUGH, MD, MPH

"Do No Harm: The Clifton Dawley Story" is a gripping and eye-opening documentary that takes viewers on an emotional journey through the heart of a medical conspiracy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Directed by Clover Carroll, this compelling film offered in full length on Courageous Discourse, exposes the harrowing truth behind one family's quest for justice and the untold stories of suffering that transpired in the healthcare system.

Synopsis:

In the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, Clifton Dawley, a beloved father and grandfather, tragically succumbs to the virus under mysterious circumstances. His son, Stephen Dawley, embarks on a relentless mission to uncover the shocking truth about his father's death. What follows is a jaw-dropping revelation of medical tyranny, corporate greed, and the brave fight for accountability.

Narrated by Clover Carroll, the host of "The Liberty Call," and guided by the insights of renowned medical expert Dr. Peter McCullough, "Do No Harm" delves into the dark underbelly of the American healthcare system. This powerful documentary combines personal tragedy with expert analysis to shed light on the failures that occurred when patients needed help the most.

Key Highlights:

- Unveiling a nationwide medical conspiracy during the COVID-19 pandemic.

- Stephen Dawley's relentless pursuit of justice for his father, Clifton.

- Expert commentary from Dr. Peter McCullough, a leading medical authority.

- Narration by Clover Carroll, the host of "The Liberty Call."

"Do No Harm: The Clifton Dawley Story" transcends its role as a documentary; it is a poignant call to action for transparency, accountability, and systemic reform. Through intimate interviews, emotional testimonials, and expert commentary, the film navigates the complex terrain of medical tyranny and advocates fervently for patient rights and informed consent. As audiences bear witness to Clifton and Clover's heartbreaking stories, they are compelled to join the movement for change and prevent future tragedies.

Director's Statement:

Clover Carroll, the director of "Do No Harm: The Clifton Dawley Story," states, "This documentary is not just about one family's tragedy; it's about a world-wide concerted effort to promote fear, suffering, isolation, hospitalization and death. It demands our attention. It's a call to action for accountability, transparency, and change within the healthcare system. We hope this film wakes up the sheep and inspires a movement to fight tyranny".

Viewing Information:

"Do No Harm: The Clifton Dawley Story" is shareable with this Vimeo link. Don't miss the opportunity to share this compelling exploration of a family's fight against medical tyranny.

About the Director:

Clover Carroll is the CEO of New Story Media, an award-winning production company that has produced for National Geographic, The Discovery Channel, The Learning Channel, and Investigate Discovery. Clover's mission is a tribute to his mother's memory, propelled by an unwavering commitment to truth and justice.

About Dr. Peter McCullough:

Dr. Peter McCullough is a renowned Internist, Cardiologist, and Epidemiologist. His expertise and insights have played a pivotal role in uncovering the truths surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic. Dr. McCullough's contributions to "Do No Harm" add credibility and authority to the documentary's message.

About The Narrator:

Clover Carroll is on a mission deeply shaped by personal tragedy with the loss of his own mother, 74-year old Carolyn Carroll, to COVID-19 in a hospitalization that was contested in court over therapeutic nihilism and failure to engage in shared decision-making with the family. This is depicted in Chapter 40 Graduating Into Eternity of our book Courage to Face COVID-19: Preventing Hospitalizations and Death While Battling the Bio-Pharmaceutical Complex. In August 2021, his mother suffered a fate strikingly similar to Clifton Dawley's. She, too, fell victim to medical malfeasance during the COVID-19 crisis. She was denied critical help and placed on a ventilator, sedated, and paralyzed. Tragically, she passed away alone.

This heartbreaking experience has galvanized Clover's commitment to filmmaking and producing "Do No Harm." Through the "Do No Harm" project, Clover Carroll is determined to give voice to as many stories as possible. His mission is clear: to continue telling these stories until justice is served and the public awakens. Clover's commitment is unwavering, fueled by a deep sense of responsibility to ensure that the tragedies like those of Clifton Dawley and his own mother are acknowledged and never repeated.

Clover Carroll is also the host of "The Liberty Call," a show dedicated to shining a light on inspiring guests who are standing up for truth and freedom and fighting against tyranny in America. His narration in "Do No Harm" provides context and clarity to the unfolding story.

This observation will haunt those involved in the pandemic response for the rest of their lives. “There was something unique about the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, COVID 19…. by which the hospitals almost exclusively were the venue of death”. ~ Dr Peter McCullough

Please subscribe to Courageous Discourse as a paying ($5 monthly) or founder member so we can continue to bring you the truth.

Peter A. McCullough, MD, MPH

President, McCullough Foundation

www.mcculloughfnd.org

Clover Carroll

Executive Producer

clover@thelibertycall.com

www.DoNOHarmstories.com

https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/powerful-documentary-do-no-harm-the?publication_id=1119676&post_id=145817334&isFreemail=true&r=16ettj&triedRedirect=true

Reprinted from LIFESITE NEWS - COVID shots have 200-times higher risk of brain clots than other jabs: new report

A new review by Dr. Peter McCullough and other medical experts found 5,137 cases of cerebral thromboembolism since the COVID-19 shots have been available, compared to less than 400 for the previous three decades.

By Calvin Freiburger

(LifeSiteNews) — The COVID-19 shots carry increased risks of creating blood clots to the brain, according to a newly-published study by a team of experts that includes prominent critics of the COVID establishment such as Dr. Peter McCullough.

The study by Drs. McCullough, Kirstin Cosgrove, James Thorp, and Claire Rogers examined data on reports of cerebral thromboembolism, blood clots that block cerebral veins or brain arteries (interfering with blood and oxygen flow to the brain), following COVID shots submitted to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC) and federal Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) from January 1990 all the way through December 2023.

It found 5,137 cases reported in the three years the COVID injections have been available, compared to just 52 associated with influenza vaccines and 282 for all other vaccines over the past three decades, for a risk more than 200 times greater from the new shots.

READ: The COVID-19 injection is not a vaccine. Here’s why

“An immediate global moratorium on the use of COVID-19 vaccines is necessary with an absolute contraindication in women of reproductive age.”

“There is an alarming breach in the safety signal threshold concerning cerebral thrombosis AEs [adverse events] after COVID-19 vaccines compared to that of the influenza vaccines and even when compared to that of all other vaccines,” the authors conclude. “An immediate global moratorium on the use of COVID-19 vaccines is necessary with an absolute contraindication in women of reproductive age.”

McCullough, a widely-published cardiologist, added on his personal Substack that the report “did not capture the level of permanent neurologic devastation and disability suffered by these patients. I can tell you that the rates must be very high given the extensive nature of the blood clots reported. These data among others strongly support removing all COVID-19 vaccines and boosters from the market. No one should be put at risk for a serious stroke with any vaccine.”

A large body of evidence identifies significant risks to the COVID shots, which were developed and reviewed in a fraction of the time vaccines usually take. Among it, VAERS reports 37,647 deaths, 216,757 hospitalizations, 21,741 heart attacks, and 28,445 myocarditis and pericarditis cases as of May 31, among other ailments. CDC researchers have recognized a “high verification rate of reports of myocarditis to VAERS after mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccination,” leading to the conclusion that “under-reporting is more likely” than over-reporting.

READ: Kansas AG sues Pfizer for misrepresenting COVID shot as ‘safe and effective’

An analysis of 99 million people across eight countries published February in the journal Vaccine – the largest analysis to date – “observed significantly higher risks of myocarditis following the first, second and third doses” of mRNA-based COVID shots, as well as signs of increased risk of “pericarditis, Guillain-Barré syndrome, and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis,” and other “potential safety signals that require further investigation.” In April, the CDC was forced to release by court order 780,000 previously undisclosed reports of serious adverse reactions, and a study out of Japan found “statistically significant increases” in cancer deaths after third doses of mRNA-based COVID-19 injections, and offered several theories for a causal link.

In Florida, a grand jury impaneled by Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis is currently investigating the manufacture and rollout of the COVID jabs. In February, it released its first interim report on the underlying justification for Operation Warp Speed, which determined that lockdowns did more harm than good, that masks were ineffective at stopping COVID transmission, that COVID was “statistically almost harmless” to children and most adults, and that it is “highly likely” that COVID hospitalization numbers were inflated. The grand jury’s report on the shots themselves is highly anticipated.

On Monday, Kansas Attorney General Kris Kobach announced a lawsuit against pharmaceutical giant Pfizer over “multiple misleading statements” about the health risks and ineffectiveness of its mRNA-based COVID-19 shot as violations of the Kansas Consumer Protection Act.

https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/covid-shots-have-200-times-higher-risk-of-brain-clots-than-other-jabs-new-report/?

Reprinted from COURAGEOUS DISCOURSE - Febrile Seizure Risk after Vaccination in Children One to Five Months of Age

CDC Study Confirms Early Combination Vaccination is the Problem

PETER A. MCCULLOUGH, MD, MPH

It is estimated that the childhood lifetime risk of a febrile seizure is 2-4%. With each seizure there is a concern for neurological damage and the development of future problems including epilepsy and neuropsychiatric syndromes including autism spectrum disorder. Nilsson et al, examined a sample of adults with children who had well-documented febrile seizures earlier in life. An astounding 41% had early symptomatic neurodevelopmental symptoms eliciting clinical evaluation (ESSENCE). ESSENCE, in this context, refers to the total group of neurodevelopmental/neuropsychiatric disorders: Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, Autism Spectrum Disorder, Developmental Coordination Disorder, Intellectual Disability, Developmental Language Disorder, and Tourette syndrome—all characterized by major cognitive and/or behavioral problems.

Duffy et al from the CDC used the Vaccine Data Safety Link to study febrile seizures in children ages 1 to 5 months of age after vaccination. They used extensive methods to exclude cases and report on 15 where it was absolutely certain that combination vaccination caused the seizure.

Duffy J, Hambidge SJ, Jackson LA, Kharbanda EO, Klein NP, Naleway A, Omer SB, Weintraub E; Vaccine Safety Datalink. Febrile Seizure Risk after Vaccination in Children One to Five Months of Age. Pediatr Neurol. 2017 Nov;76:72-78. doi: 10.1016/j.pediatrneurol.2017.08.005. Epub 2017 Aug 23. PMID: 28958404; PMCID: PMC6636632.

The results are alarming because compared to a control period of which febrile seizures could have occured due to other causes of fever, there was nearly a fourfold increased risk of this potentially catastrophic event with combination vaccination given very early in life. Duffey et al have not followed up on these 15 children to be sure they have normal development. That is worrisome.

The bottom line is that parents should fully understand the real risks of febrile seizures and the theoretical benefit of vaccinating for adult illnesses (hepatitis B, influenza, pneumococcus, etc) at such a young age. Many bacterial infections are readily treatable with today’s antibiotics (diphtheria, pertussis, pneumococcus, haemophilus). Many of the viral syndromes are very mild and have exceedingly rare complications when encountered early in life (measles, mumps, rubella, varicella, rotavirus).

Courageous Discourse™ with Dr. Peter McCullough & John Leake is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

https://petermcculloughmd.substack.com/p/febrile-seizure-risk-after-vaccination?publication_id=1119676&post_id=145694266&isFreemail=true&r=16ettj&triedRedirect=true

Reprinted from Ste Kirsch's newsletter - New Zealand data leaked by Barry Young has a smoking gun: a 27% increase in all-cause mortality over 12 months if you got the jab

It's amazing nobody noticed. It took just 2.7 seconds for Oracle to run the query that shows this. You can replicate my work yourself on the data I published last year.

STEVE KIRSCH

Executive summary

If you were age 65-69 and you were one of the 4M people who opted to get one or more jabs in New Zealand, on average, your mortality over a 1 year period from when you got your first shot was elevated by at least 27% from the official baseline mortality rates published by the New Zealand authorities for 2021 as well as 2022.

Every single 5 year age range from 45 to 84 was elevated over baseline. The data was too noisy for lower age ranges (fewer than 59 deaths).

Apparently, Health New Zealand doesn’t care how many people they are killing. They won’t take the 2 seconds to run the query.

As far as I can tell from talking to Barry Young, the former Oracle DBA at Health New Zealand, their epidemiologists have never asked to look at the safety data and have no interest in learning the truth.

That’s their idea of protecting the public.

So the killing will continue.

The SQL query

Simply import the .csv file in the record-level-data directory into Oracle. During import, rename the columns to match the column names to match the query below. Make sure that the DOD field is imported as a DATE. Skip importing the vaccine type.

The query below basically computes how many people between the ages of 65 and 69 got doses 1 - 4 and how many of those people died within 365 days of their shot. It also computes the % died by dividing the two values. It is brain dead simple.

CREATE TABLE analysis_65_69_365_day_obfuscated AS
SELECT dose_number,
       num_vaccinated,
       num_dead,
       ROUND((SELECT num_dead / num_vaccinated * 100 FROM dual), 2) AS percent_died
FROM (
    SELECT dose_number,
           COUNT(*) AS num_vaccinated,
           COUNT(CASE WHEN dod <= vax_date + 365 THEN 1 END) AS num_dead
    FROM obfuscated
    WHERE TRUNC(MONTHS_BETWEEN(vax_date, dob) / 12) BETWEEN 65 AND 69
        AND trunc(vax_date)<'5-oct-2022' -- so that person has time to die before database runs out on oct 7, 2023
    GROUP BY dose_number
    HAVING dose_number BETWEEN 1 AND 4  -- Limit doses to 1 through 4
    );

Results (in just 2.7 seconds)

Results on running the query above on the obfuscated dataset

The results on the original dataset (without the obfuscations) have slightly different counts, but exactly the same percentages which is a great validation that the obfuscation had minimal impact on the statistical integrity.

Mortality rates for 65-69 year olds

The official mortality rates for 65 to 69 year olds is available from Infoshare, using the Group: Death rates DMM selection.

For 2020, the rate was 0.975% per annum.
For 2021, the rate was 0.986% per annum.
For 2022, the rate was 1.055% per annum.

Shot #1 was given in September 2021, suggesting that the baseline mortality rate should be between those two rates. Therefore, a conservative estimate is to use the higher number as baseline mortality expected.

So we have 1.34/1.055 = 1.27 which means our Dose 1 people died at more than 27% above what was expected.

That is a disaster.

But the reasons the rates are higher is presumably due the vaccine so the baseline rate is closer to .975% and even lower than that since healthier people get vaccinated than the overall population so baseline is probably around .9 and we observed 1.34% which is a 48% increase.

The gaslighting attempts

Defenders of the “safe and effective” vaccine will go into overdrive on this.

Their claims will be:

  1. It was a skewed subset of the 65-69 year-olds that opted for the shots; the healthy people avoided getting vaccinated. That’s why the mortality rate is so high.

  2. Look! The vaccine worked!!!! By the time people got the fourth shot, they were able to reduce their all-cause mortality by nearly 40% from baseline! The vaccine is a miracle! Everyone should get it!

My response

Both of these statements are false.

  1. The people who opt to get any vaccine are health seeking and have, in general, lower mortality than the general population. This is known as the “healthy vaccinee effect.”

  2. There is very credible evidence published in JAMA that the vaccine offers no mortality benefit from all-causes or COVID. Dose 4 was lower simply because the cohort itself that opted for shot #4 had a lower baseline mortality since they survived all three shots already and decided to go back for more punishment.

  3. Can I see your correct analysis of the data using the same metrics?

Here’s the Bard explanation of the size of the healthy vaccinee effect which reduces all-cause mortality on those who decide to get vaccinated by 5% to 30% or more.

So our vaccinees should have had lower mortality on Dose 1 than baseline, not 27% higher mortality.

They cannot make their argument work and can’t support it with data.

If the 4M people in NZ who took the shot were unhealthier than average to start with (they would claim since the government mandated it, the healthy vaccinee effect was neutralized), then they cannot explain how their baseline mortality miraculously improved by shot #4 to be 20% below baseline. For more details on this, see the exploration of mortality rate distributions.xlsx spreadsheet in the analysis directory of the repository.

Bottom line is this is like whack-a-mole for epidemiologists. They have to explain both numbers. If they explain one number, they can’t explain how to get to the second number.

Explaining the numbers

The jabs are causing a huge amount of harm. People are seeing it and some of the stories are insane. For example this anecdote is mind blowing:

If the vaccine is saving lives, anecdotes like that one should be impossible to find.

The most likely explanation for the query results are:

  1. The death rates after vaccination diverge from background death rates. If you got the vaccine, your mortality increases over time.

  2. We don’t really know what the baseline mortality rate of the 4M people who opted for the vaccine were, but it’s safe to say that the healthy vaccine effect is still at play and that the cohort getting the vaccine was probably lower than baseline mortality (under 1%) since healthier people opt for vaccination. So the 27% mortality over the year after the shot is problematic especially since it’s compared with the 2022 baseline. To get a 27% differential from baseline is really hard considering 80% of New Zealanders took the first shot. So you can’t argue it was “the sickest.” It was nearly everyone healthy enough to get the shot.

Summary

The NZ data was released almost a year ago on my Substack. It’s record-level data.

How is it that not a single epidemiologist in the world has analyzed the data and reported how it shows the vaccine is beneficial?

How is it that Te Whatu Ora isn’t releasing the correct analysis of the data proving that I am mischaracterizing it?

The answer is obvious: it’s because they can’t.

But it would be a hoot if they tried that. They would be torn to shreds. This is why they don’t do it.

Not even my good buddy Sean Plunket, the New Zealand talk show host that never lets you get a word in edgewise, has proffered his own analysis of the data.

I’d be happy to debate any published epidemiologist with an h-index equal to or greater than my own who claims that the NZ data proves that COVID vaccines reduce mortality.

Any takers?

I didn’t think so.

https://kirschsubstack.com/p/new-zealand-data-leaked-by-barry?publication_id=548354&post_id=141115566&isFreemail=true&r=16ettj&triedRedirect=true